The Guardian and Financial review recently reported on two Redbridge commissioned polls for the seats of Wentworth and Goldstein. The full reports can be found here for Wentworth and Goldstein.

We used both touch tone automated calls and CATI (live interviews). A key point when looking at seat based polls which make in one of the media reports. This polling is a temperature read and tells us there is a big chunk of votes coming off the Liberal Party in these type of seats. The haemorrhaging is motivated by a mood for change. Not a protest vote.

Over a 6 month period, we have polled these electorates numerous times. The Liberal Party primary across all these types of seats has declined since 2019. The swing is between 5 to 10 percent.