• The Labor Party still leads on two-party preferred, but support now looks much like the 2022 election results.
• On two-party terms, Labor leads with those who are experiencing a great deal of financial stress. This is largely driven by the large primary votes for The Greens and other parties and candidates, much of which flows back to Labor, rather than direct primary support. Coalition support is very low among voters aged 18-34 (with a lower primary vote than the Greens, and only a third of the two-party vote) and those who do not own their own home (37 per cent two-party preferred).
• Just 33 per cent of voters agree the Labor government is focused on the right priorities, with 53 per cent disagreeing. The same number agree the opposition is ready for government (although slightly fewer disagree, with a larger share undecided).
• Voters who say their financial situation causes them stress are less likely to agree that the government has the right priorities. The Coalition now leads with voters who have a TAFE or Vocational Education or less than year 12 qualification.
The full report, including methodology, can be downloaded here Federal vote intention and public opinion – Dec 2023